美股

Did the Korean Memory Selloff Spread to US Chip Stocks? Seoul Closed −10.4%, New York Opened −5.6% and Reversed Green Within the Hour — Only the Two Earnings Reporters Stayed Red

2026-08-06 · 9 min · AlphaGBM
存储板块memory sectorSK海力士SK Hynix000660三星电子Samsung Electronics005930美光MicronMU西部数据Western DigitalWDC闪迪SanDiskSNDK希捷SeagateSTXKOSPI半导体semiconductors财报超预期earnings beat跨市场传导cross-market contagion系统性风险systemic riskVIX时间窗口lookback windowNANDHBM获利回吐profit taking

The Short Answer

The contagion did transmit. It just didn't survive the first hour.

Seoul closed sharply lower on August 6, 2026: SK Hynix −10.37%, Samsung Electronics −6.30%, KOSPI −4.58%. Those are settled closing prices. New York then took the handoff at the open — Micron opened −5.61% and traded as low as −7.41%; Seagate opened −6.88% and bottomed at −8.35%.

By 10:33 a.m. Eastern, one hour into the session and with trading still in progress, every one of those names had turned green: Micron +0.38%, Seagate +1.65%, SOXX +1.51%, AMD +1.21%.

At that moment only two stocks in the entire complex were still down more than 1%. They happen to be the only two that had just reported earnings.

Read This Before the Numbers

This article mixes two different kinds of time windows. They are not interchangeable and must not be subtracted from one another:

Data Status Timestamp
Korean equities Settled closing prices Korea close, 2026-08-06
US equities Intraday, session in progress 10:33 a.m. ET, 2026-08-06 (hour 1)

Korean figures were independently re-verified against KRX price data. US figures were pulled live at the time of writing and are not closing prices. The first hour after the open is the most volatile stretch of the trading day, and every US reading below can change by the close.

Because the two sides cover different window lengths — a full Korean session versus a single US hour — this article deliberately does not compute any "US versus Korea spread." That subtraction is invalid when the windows don't match.

Seoul: The Part That Has Settled

Instrument Close Change
SK Hynix (000660) ₩1,495,000 −10.37%
Samsung Electronics (005930) ₩230,500 −6.30%
KOSPI Index 6,296.38 −4.58%

The decline is real and final, and it sorted by proximity to high-bandwidth memory: the closer a company sits to HBM, the harder it fell.

New York: The Open Followed, Then Reversed

Every US figure below comes from the same moment in the same session, so these names are directly comparable with one another.

Instrument At open Session low At 10:33 ET Rebound off low
Seagate STX −6.88% −8.35% +1.65% +10.0pp
SOXX (semis ETF) −1.54% −2.69% +1.51% +4.2pp
Broadcom AVGO +0.54% −1.80% +1.38% +3.2pp
SMH (semis ETF) −0.81% −1.78% +1.36% +3.1pp
Texas Instruments TXN −1.10% −1.83% +1.35% +3.2pp
AMD −2.26% −2.60% +1.21% +3.8pp
Micron MU −5.61% −7.41% +0.38% +7.8pp
Nvidia NVDA +1.05% −0.02% +0.12% +0.1pp
S&P 500 SPY +0.04% −0.09% +0.07% +0.2pp
Nasdaq 100 QQQ −0.91% −1.23% −0.02% +1.2pp
Intel INTC −2.81% −5.40% −0.13% +5.3pp
SanDisk SNDK −13.21% −13.88% −6.34% +7.5pp
Western Digital WDC −17.39% −21.51% −11.35% +10.2pp

What stands out:

The Central Puzzle: Western Digital Beat on Everything, Guided Margins Higher, and Fell the Most

From Western Digital's official earnings release dated August 5, 2026 (investor.wdc.com):

Fiscal Q4 2026 actuals

Metric Result Versus guidance
Revenue $3.747B +44% year over year, above company guidance
Non-GAAP gross margin 54.4% Above guidance
Non-GAAP EPS $3.56 Above guidance

Fiscal Q1 2027 guidance

Metric Guidance
Revenue $4.1B ± $0.1B
Non-GAAP gross margin 55–56% (still expanding)
Non-GAAP EPS $4.00

Three actuals above its own guidance, and gross margin guided higher for the coming quarter. The stock opened down 17.4% and sat at −11.35% an hour into the session.

SanDisk's setup was similar but milder: a large beat on both revenue and EPS, paired with next-quarter revenue guidance that landed roughly in line with consensus rather than above it.

Why this rules out a demand explanation: Seagate and Western Digital sell into the same hard-drive end market. Seagate did not report this week and is +1.65% today. Western Digital did report and is −11.35%. Same end market, same day, same trading hour, opposite directions. The difference is not the industry — it is which company just held a call.

What is being repriced is not the fundamentals of storage. It is the positioning in these particular stocks.

The "Parabolic Run, Now Profit-Taking" Story Only Works at a One-Week Window

This is the part worth keeping.

Nearly every explanation of today's move will say these names had run too far and are giving it back. Check the past week and that looks airtight. Extend the window and it inverts.

All figures below are through the August 5 close — settled, and excluding today:

Instrument 1 week 1 month Since June 1
SanDisk SNDK +32.9% −16.5% −23.3%
Micron MU +20.9% −4.8% −13.7%
SOXX +14.1% −3.8% −7.2%
SMH +13.0% −2.0% −6.3%
Western Digital WDC +12.4% −2.4% −4.9%
Seagate STX +9.6% +1.2% −9.0%
Nasdaq 100 QQQ +8.4% +1.1% −3.3%
S&P 500 SPY +5.5% +3.0% +1.7%

At one week: SanDisk +32.9%, Micron +20.9%. Textbook parabolic top.

At one month: SanDisk −16.5%, Micron −4.8%, Western Digital −2.4% — while the S&P gained 3.0%.

These stocks did not rise over the past month. They lagged the index and lost ground. The "surge" was a rebound off a deeper drawdown, recovering what they had already given up.

So the accurate description is not "they went up too much, now they fall." It is this: a group of very high-amplitude stocks that has gone nowhere, or backwards, for a month. Anyone citing "+20.9% in a week" as the explanation has selected the window that makes the story tidy.

Three Reasons This Is Not Systemic Risk

Check Reading Interpretation
VIX ~15.5, below 16.50 on Aug 4 and 15.81 on Aug 5 Volatility fell rather than spiked; no panic being priced
S&P / Nasdaq SPY +0.07%, QQQ −0.02% The broad market barely moved
Sector breadth AMD, Broadcom, TI, SOXX, SMH all green Semiconductors as a group are up, not down together

A genuine market-wide de-risking would show rising volatility, a visibly lower index, and broad semiconductor weakness. None of the three is present.

What to Watch Next

  1. The US closing print. This is an hour-one reading. Whether today's reversal holds into the close is the only real test of whether the rejection was genuine.
  2. Seoul's next open. Either Korea found its own floor, or it repairs upward toward New York's bounce.
  3. Whether Western Digital and SanDisk narrow their losses. If a company with expanding gross margins keeps getting sold, the pressure is coming from positioning rather than from any judgment about value.

Limitations

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